Friday, March 1, 2013

Nukes and Guns


We are struggling with two weapons of mass destruction…the nuclear one and the gun.  The former is scary as hell but has not killed anyone in the past sixty-seven plus years, while the latter kills tens of thousands every year in the US alone. How to control both of these is a major challenge facing us.

In an ideal world, there will be no nuclear weapons. All of the existing stockpiles would be destroyed and the recipe to make them erased. That will be the safest “steady-state” our civilization can achieve. But that is an impossible dream to achieve.

At the other extreme is a situation in which there are no controls and every country that wants one is allowed to have it. Given the speed with which an unfettered technology can spread these days, every country will have these weapons in no time. Perversely, that is also a potentially “safe” situation, because the fear of mutually assured destruction will prevent any country from using these weapons.

The trouble is that it is a very unstable steady state. One flock of geese mistaken for incoming nuclear missiles, or one deranged head of the state, and the entire world will be engulfed in unimaginable horrors.

The same applies to guns. A world without guns will be the safest alternative. As that is not possible, NRA suggests that everyone should be armed, so that the bad guys with guns will not harm the good guys with guns. This is their version of peace caused by the fear of mutually assured destruction. Unfortunately, this suffers from the same issue as is the case with nukes---one false move or one deranged individual, and what would have been a heated argument becomes a bloodbath.

We should not allow that and seek alternatives.

In the case of nuclear weapons, there is the non-proliferation treaty and active involvement of world community to prevent uncontrolled spread of the dreadful weapon.

Of course, this plan of action prevents the “good” guys getting these weapons, just as the “bad” guys.  However, this exposure to vulnerability is acceptable by the “good” guys because it reduces the overall number of weapons in circulation and makes it awfully hard for the “bad” guys to get their hands on one.

If we accept this plan for preventing nuclear destruction, we need to do the same for curbing gun violence. Yes, gun controls will make it harder for good guys from acquiring guns, just as it does for bad, but it is a safer alternative then the NRA proposal of going back to the days of  “Wild West”. 

4 comments:

  1. Excellent reasoning and a great new angle. Makes a lot of sense. If not for the God given right of 2nd amendment (misinterpreted as such) for "Guns in US" vs no such rights for "Nukes worldwide". Such "rights" don't have anything to do with rationality - it is all about faith (in our forefathers) and how we interpret what they meant.

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    1. It is also deep rooted fear and paranoia, probably stoked by the changing demographics of this country. Do watch a TV program called Preppers. Scary stuff.

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  2. Couldn't agree with you more. Your analogy of guns and nuclear weapons is apt and totally on the mark.

    Despite believing that it is guns (and not people) that kill people, I think all the current efforts on gun controls and background checks are for naught. Until we reduce the number of guns in circulation (estimated to be 300 million) by something like 50+%, gun deaths are not likely to change much. Even if one could snap a finger and enact all the legislation the Obama administration has proposed, all it would do is slow the growth rate, meaning guns in circulation would keep increasing from the current level. Unless one can reduce this number substantially ("from my cold dead hands" as Ben-Hur would say), I see little changing.

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