Sunday, November 1, 2020

The Ballot

 My mail-in ballot has arrived. Now I can participate in a historic election without having to wait until November 3rd and waiting in line at a polling booth, which is what I have done in the past elections.

 

The ballot is not just a simple document listing choice for President and Vice President, but five pages of multiple people and items to be voted on. This is the participative democracy in action.

 

I skip pages 1-4 in my first reading of the ballot and go to Page 5, the most important one. I am given a choice to select not just between the two well-known opponents in the Presidential election but among several. Standing in the election are the Republican and Democratic candidates, but also those from The Green party, The Libertarian Party, The Peace and Freedom Party, and The American Independent party. The last pair intrigues me; the candidate Roque “Rocky” de La Fuente Guerra for President and Kanye West as Vice President. Just imagine they getting elected. Then, if something were to happen to Rocky, Kanye West would be our President and Kim Kardashian, the first lady. Wouldn’t that be interesting? On the other hand, when I think about it, that wouldn’t be worse than the current situation. May be even better.

 

Next, I start from the front of the ballot. The choices are neatly arranged according to levels---City/Local, County, and State. Being new to this area, I know almost nothing about most of the candidates in City/Local level except for our Congressman. The representative of the 28th district is none other than Adam Schiff. In addition to him, I can claim some familiarity with our mayor. He knocked on our door a few months ago, soliciting our vote. However, I know next to nothing about the candidates who are standing for the State Senate and State Assembly. 

 

Things get more complex when I come to the County candidates. I need to vote for District Attorney, and three judges for the superior court. Yes, I have seen ads on TV. If I vote for one of the DA candidates, I am told that hell will break lose. There will be riots on the street and the attorney will do nothing. She is supposed to be the meanest person on earth. No such ads for the judges. 

 

Now wait. A few days ago, I had received a thick packet from the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk (whoever that is) with candidate statements & measures. When I read about the candidates, they all promise to work for me and assure that heaven on earth will be created by their tireless activities. 

 

Intermingled with the candidates are “measures” on which voters are supposed to vote as “for” or “against” each measure. Californians are experts at introducing measures. This time, we have two measures at the city/local level, one at the county level, and twelve at the state level. Yes, twelve. They are literally all over the map, from County measure “J” --- Community investment and alternatives to incarceration minimum county budget allocation --- to State Measure 24 which seeks to amend consumer privacy laws, initiative statute. 

 

I have a choice to vote yes for all measures, or no, and be a bad citizen, or read up on each one--what it is about, and make an educated choice. The packet that arrived before the ballot has the full text of ballot measures and pro and con arguments. The full text of Measure “O” runs to more than eight pages of double column densely packed information. Besides some bureaucrat saying that “we informed citizens about what the measure was all about,” and thereby reduce the likelihood of being sued by the defeated party, I don’t see what purpose the descriptions serve. I may not have time to read them or ability to comprehend.  

 

Of course, once again, I can watch the TV ads. One projects of images of patients who claim that they all will die if a specific measure is passed. An ad for another measure mentions that untold hardship awaits a huge segment of the society if that one is not given the nod. 

 

I wonder what is wrong with this picture. 

 

How will an average citizen be able to weigh pros and cons of each proposition and decide what is good for the society? Most of them will have the “other” side, increasing deficit, or bringing hardship to some segment of the society while benefiting others.  Don’t we elect representatives to make tough decisions such as those presented by these measures? What is their job? To get elected and then worry about re-election? 

 

Also, I am, or should be, familiar with some of the local and state representatives, but how will I know the rest? As I mentioned, some of them have provided statements in the packet that I got. Are those sufficient for me to make an informed selection? Or, should I rely on the TV spots where each one gets trashed? 

 

I am a fairly educated and experiences voter, and I am having a hard time filling this ballot conscientiously. What will happen to my less educated or informed fellow citizens? Yes, a participative democracy is the best form of government, but how effectively and efficiently is it functioning?

Thursday, October 1, 2020

Being grateful

 We move to a Pasadena in California towards the end of last year. Our objective is to establish ourselves in this new place after decades of living in Massachusetts. That includes getting to know people, participating in local events, and enjoying what this lovely town has to offer. There is plenty in each category. Pasadena offers a well-run Senior Center, several health clubs, a very good library system, free lectures at Caltech, performances by Pasadena Symphony Orchestra, several gardens and parks with lots of green spaces, many non-profits where we can offer our services and make new friends, and the San Gabriel Mountains where we can hike to heart’s content. There is also an active restaurant scene with places to eat and drink. We quickly start making friends and get involved with all types of activities. We hike on nearby trails. 

 

Then Covid hits us. Almost everything is closed. No Senior Center, no symphony, no lectures to attend, no restaurants to go to. Worse, we can’t even develop the budding social relationships with our new friends. We are concerned that these friendships may get snuffed out under the load of Covid restrictions.

 

However, we are grateful that we haven’t contracted that dreadful disease unlike so many others, even some who we know.  As we are retired, we don’t have to be concerned about paychecks, or getting exposed to people we do not know. 

 

We are also grateful that after an initial period, we can begin our hiking. We can meet at least some of our friends as long as we maintain social distances. Also, our children become a part of our pod and so we can spend a lot of time with them.

 

Then one of the worst heatwaves hit us. The temperature goes soaring into 115-degree range. Hiking on exposed trails (that includes most of the trails around us) is impossible. Even our neighborhood walking is possible only during early morning or late evening. 

 

However, we are grateful that we have covered patios where we can sit and relax. Have a drink. Also, we do not have to work outdoors, unlike our gardener, seƱor Guadalupe, who comes every Wednesday and cuts grass even in those horrid temperatures. We meanwhile relax in our airconditioned house. 

 

Then comes the season of forest fires. One of the worst in California’s history. One major fire in the Los Angeles area is right in our backyard…in San Gabriel Mountains, where we go hiking. Tens of thousands of acres are already gone with no end in sight. The smoke from the fire has made our air quality quite poor and even dangerous. Now our daily walks have come to a stop. We can’t even sit outside for a drink or relax. 

 

However, we are grateful that our house is not under an imminent threat of catching fire (although we are ready to evacuate if the order to do so comes down). Also, neither of us has an underlying condition that would make the situation worse. We have hobbies and learning activities that keep us busy and can be performed indoors. We have lots of friends and family members who we can talk to and do FaceTime with. There are Zoom calls to participate in.

 

Most of all, we are grateful that we have each other, unlike single folks in our neighborhood who admit that they are going stir crazy. 

 

The fires will be extinguished. The heat wave will pass (it almost has), and Covid will eventually be managed. We will be grateful for having passed this test with relatively minor discomfort

Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Fifty years

 Last month I completed fifty years since I came to this country. As I passed this major milestone, it was time to look back and reflect.

 

I had not planned to settle here. I came to spend one year in graduate school, at most two, get a Master’s degree and go back to India. When I got my Master’s, I kept going until I earned a Doctorate in engineering. This time I was ready to go back and had, as a matter of fact, secured three job offers in India.

 

Then I had a fateful meeting with an interesting guy, a friend of a cousin living in India. He was a founder of a company that sold Digital Equipment’s computers in India, and he was on a business trip. I met him at a motel in Concord, MA and he suggested that I get some work experience in US before heading back. “It will be valuable and also get you started financially,” he said. 

 

I listened to him and secured a job with a company in Waltham, MA. I got a practical training visa that allowed me to work for eighteen months. When that period came to an end, greed had set in and I decided to apply for a Green Card. After getting it, I went to India, got married, and came back to US to work for maybe five more years.

 

Well, by now you can guess what happened next. Five years become ten and then, after children arrived, we decided to get citizenships and live here for good. We had joined the rank of immigrants to this land of the opportunity. We lived the American dream: a house in suburbia, good careers, two children (but no dog), and lots of travelling. 

 

My story as an immigrant was not based on escaping something unpleasant or brutal in my home country. In all likelihood, based on the experience of my classmates who never came to US or went back after studies, I would have had an equally good life in the motherland. It would have been a different life, but pleasant one nonetheless.

 

So, I cannot escape the feeling that I was an opportunist looking after my own interest and not that of the country of my birth. What did I get in return for making the decision to emigrate and carrying that guilt? 

 

Here are a few points that come to mind as I look back. Please treat them as personal views that reflect my interests and what is important to me, and not applicable to every immigrant in my situation. 

 

1. Wider exposure to people of the world

 

In my mind, there is no doubt that I have met more diverse people in the past fifty years in US than I would have if I had settled in India. It is not just meeting them but also becoming comfortable with the notion that people around the world are just like us, and thereby reducing the “them vs us” complex. I feel totally comfortable with men and women of practically any nationality or background. 

 

2.  Greater opportunity to travel

 

A direct corollary of the above, my intense desire to experience the world has been satisfied beyond my imagination. Some of it could have happened even if I had decided to live in India, but not to the same level. What I mean is not just seeing the world----checking off a bucket list---but experiencing it: Hiking and biking in all different places, setting our own itinerary and schedules, and meeting people to an extent not possible in packaged tours. All this has been fueled by  (i) our passion for travel and different cultures, (ii) developing confidence to travel just by ourselves, and  (iii) earning in dollars, not rupees. Finally, having an American and not an Indian passport has made a big difference in travelling internationally.  

 

3.  Easier to maintain physical fitness

 

One reason why we have been able to travel the way we have, and enjoy the outdoors, is that we have maintained a reasonable level of physical fitness. This country not only encourages you to remain fit, but enables you to do so. To that end, I got involved with hiking right from beginning, cross country skiing and skating soon afterwards, and recreation biking after I got married. Now, during the Covid time, we are able to walk four mile an average through nice green neighborhoods with practically no traffic. We can bike without fear of getting killed by a motorist. Ask my classmate to do that in India. Even if they want to, and most of them do, they will have a harder time.

 

4. Better learning opportunities

 

This is a tricky topic because it depends on what you want to learn. If you are on a spiritual journey, I cannot think of a better place than India to do so. Also, these days, with on-line learning generally available, anyone can participate. However, the desire to learn stems from being exposed to a topic and becoming interested. For me, Western Classical Music is one such area. I was exposed to it thanks to friends in my graduate school and attending free concerts on Charles River. That led to attending paid concerts, purchasing of records, and then buying courses from The Great Courses. I am very happy to have this opportunity. 

 

5. Better life for our children

 

This is the driving force for so many immigrants escaping terrible situation and I believe it to be true even for a person like me who had a comfortable life in India. There are several reasons for making this statement. First of all, education is less competitive in this country than in India. My son or daughter would have found it virtually impossible to get admitted to IIT (where I studied) given how slim the odds have become. Second, for someone aspiring for a career in arts, like my daughter, making a living would have been a struggle in India. Third, living on their own would have been very difficult for our children given how steep the cost of living/housing has become in major cities in India. 

 

6.  More meaningful retirement

 

This is again a controversial topic as my friends in India are enjoying their retirement quite well. The differences are (i) The availability of institutions like assisted living, nursing home, and hospice. This allows you to live independently even if your health deteriorates, as it will. In India it is assumed that your children will take care of you. If they cannot, you have to somehow manage. (ii) The availability of organizations targeted toward allowing retired people to live a meaningful next phase. For example, I am involved with an organization that provides free management consulting to non-profits using people like me. It is an enormously satisfying experience and keeps me involved with doing something useful for the society that has given me so much. (iii) Provisions for keeping physically impaired people mobile. Even if I end up in a wheelchair, I should be able to go about using public transportation and ramps that anticipate and accommodate people like that. (iv) Availability of “do not resuscitate” type of document for the end of life. This allows a family member or a physician to pull the plug without fear of legal problems when and if the time comes. 

 

So, in summary, no place is perfect and you can always find faults with whatever decision you make. The present situation would make many folks wonder about the direction this country is headed to. However, I remain pleased with the decision I made in that Motel in Concord forty-seven years ago, or to come this country three years before then.

 

Saturday, August 1, 2020

Spelling

Although I write reasonably well (so they say), I am not a good speller. Maybe it is something in my brain, which has similar difficulties remembering phone numbers. Maybe it is a feeling that I have that spelling a word correctly is not that important. So what if you spell a word with one “s” instead of two or use “c” instead of an “s”? As long as the reader gets it, what difference does it make? Also, in these days and age where your spellings get corrected automatically, why waste time in learning how to spell?

In this I am somewhat of a contrarian, considering the success Indian Americans enjoy at the Spelling Bee competitions. Obviously, some parents think that spelling correctly is very important. I had my own run in with a niece of mine who called me out for spelling a word incorrectly on a FaceBook post. I was irritated because the post referred to some gorgeous photos I had taken and I never thought anyone would be hung up on spelling. 

Given my opinion about spelling, my initial reaction at Indians excelling in that area was ---why not excel at something that matters more in life than spelling? Although I have not moved from that position entirely, my thinking now is more nuanced. Having seen a recent documentary “Spelling the Dream” on Netflix helped me along.

Indians are not noted for physical prowess. In a country obsessed with success in sports this is a problem. You would almost never see an Indian athlete in any sport in US. Even in Olympics, the Indian performance is a disaster, winning hardly any medals while the athletes from another big Asian country rack up a hoard of medals. 

Indians, meanwhile, are very good at intellectual pursuits.  To make their children excel in studies is the primary goal of most Indian parents. So, for an Indian kid to be really good at anything in school, it has got to be intellectually oriented. Everyone wants to excel at something, it is human nature. No surprise then that Indians gravitate toward something like Spelling Bee where he/she can achieve high status. 

Another benefit that the participants in Spelling Bee get is that they get exposed to a vast number of words that otherwise they would not know about. That may help them communicate better…express a thought more accurately than before. To communicate well is so important that this skill can take them far in their professional and social worlds.

There is no intrinsic reason why Indian Americans dominate Spelling Bee competitions, and not, say, Chinese Americans. One possibility is that most Indian who emigrated to this country got their English education in the good old days when perfect grammar and spellings mattered. They take their way of learning a language and impose it on their children. Once the dominance in a competition is established, it is hard to break because others with the same background have role models to follow, and the cycle continues. So here we are.

Finally, I am delighted that there are competitions that reward intellectual prowess and not just athletic. The intellectuals deserve to be recognized far more than they currently are.  How many people know about Michael Jordan and how many Tim Berners-Lee? One was a great basketball player, the other changed the world by inventing the World Wide Web. It is about time our society recognizes intellectuals. In much the same way as athletes. 

Wednesday, July 1, 2020

Now we flub reopening

No one except Trump and his closest supporters doubt that we, as a country, failed to act fast enough as Covid Crisis was taking hold. We waited, dilly-dallied and acted only when things became grim. Our President called it a hoax, a plot by Democrats, and a minor problem before grudgingly accepting the gravity of the situation.

Now, as the country reopens, we are making a mess of it once again.  The cases are again on the rise and we are breaking records. Some states have partially opened while some are actually shutting down again. When I talk to friends in Europe it makes me realize how badly we are flubbing the task of reopening.

There are likely to be many reasons for why we are looking more like a “shi*-hole country” --- to paraphrase you know who---instead of being an advanced one.  In my opinion, the two most important ones are : (1) The belief among many people that their rights are being infringed if the authorities require them to do even a simple thing like wearing a mask, and (2) The actions by the deplorable human being we have given the responsibility of being our country’s leader.

When I see protests against wearing a mask I cringe. This tells me that the protester has assumed that he knows more about the spread of the virus than the epidemiologists and those in the authority. He believes that his rights are being infringed even though it is just a simple request.  While I would have issues with this stance if the person in danger is just the refusenik, I have a serious problem because in doing so, he is endangering my life. Further, if he contracts the disease in the future by his refusal, others will be endangered and we as the society will be asked to foot his medical bills. All that because he believes that his constitutional rights are being trampled on if he is forced to wear a frigging mask.

I am told that a better option than making masks mandatory is to suggest that they wear them, and leave the final decision up to them depending on what their opinion is of risk vs. “inconvenience”. I wonder what would have happened if the society had done the same for the regulations requiring people to wear seatbelts. “You can wear them only if you feel they will help you. Yes, the engineers and medical doctors have proven beyond doubt that seatbelts save lives, but what do they know? You have the right to refuse such intrusion by the government.”  Even that is not an adequate comparison…a person not wearing a seatbelt is going to harm just himself, not the others. A better comparison would be driving under influence. “Officer, my rights to drive under any condition are being trampled…”

This uniquely American attitude of believing that their rights are infringed even by the slightest request by the authority is a big contributor in us flubbing the reopening phase, but it pales in comparison to what the commander in chief is doing.

He has, for example, shown an utter disdain for science. Initially, the whole thing was a hoax, then it was a minor problem, then his assertions that it can be cured by some unproven and bizarre remedies, and then creating a make-believe narrative that the pandemic is over and life can return to normal.

Some of his lines are classics that would go down in history when the story of the pandemic is written. “A bleach that is injected should provide cure”, “If we slow down testing the rise in the cases will slow down too”, “We can’t let the ship carrying infected passengers dock because that will increase the number of cases in the US.”

His refusal to wear a mask is another classic disregard to what a leader should be doing. What type of example is he setting? I was told that people have to make their own decision and not follow the leader. Isn’t there something wrong with the definition of a “leader” in that argument?

Now, of course, he has started his campaign rallies that involve packing people inside indoor places, precisely the situations that the scientific community is asking us to avoid. The participants are offered masks, but most don’t wear them. Why should they be expected to do so if their cult leader is not doing so? The rallies consist of nothing but self-congratulations on mission accomplished and name-calling the sacrificial lambs, the Chinese in this instance.  All that while the disease is raging outside. For example, Arizona, where he held the rally in late June recorded its highest number of cases, almost to the day. 

I suppose we will eventually muddle out of the predicament we are in. Our reputation in the world is already damaged, so this can’t make it worse. Maybe it will. The day of reckoning for the commander in chief will come in November when we hope he will be booted out ingloriously and go down the history as the worst US President ever.

Monday, June 1, 2020

Telecommunications substituting transportation

In 1991, while working at Arthur D. Little, a consulting firm, I wrote a report titled “Can Telecommunications Help Solve America’s Transportation Problems?” It was a multi-client study performed for a bunch of telecommunications companies---remember when we used to have companies like Nynex, Ameritel, BellSouth?

My point then was that the transportation infrastructure was facing a crisis because demand exceeded supply. Most solutions at that time were directed towards increasing supply. My research looked into what could be done to reduce demand on the transportation systems, specifically by having telecommunications substitute transportation. My co-authors and I envisioned a world where people can telecommute, teleshop (what a quaint word?) and do teleconferencing instead to going physically to a location. These were not entirely new concepts but progress in adapting them were stymied because of lack of telecommunications infrastructure capacity and attitude of people. “How can we let people work from home? How would we know if they are really working?”

I assumed that 10% of commuting and a similar level of shopping and conferencing will be performed through services provided by telecommunications companies if their capacities were upgraded using fiber optics.

I estimated that these substitutions would lead to an annual reduction of 1.8 million tons of regulated pollutants and 3.5 billion gallons of gasoline, while freeing up 3.1 billion hours of personal time due to reduced highway congestion and elimination of trips. Finally, the move will save some half a billion dollars in the maintenance cost of existing infrastructure annually. When converted to dollar figures, these savings would amount to $23 billion in annual societal benefits (in 1988 dollars), and this was just for US. 

My report got quite a bit of publicity. I was quoted in several well-known newspapers, and the telecommunications companies used this work in making their case for investment in a high-capacity network. 

Fast forward to the current day. 

Covid-19 has forced us into substituting transportation by telecommunications in a way that was unimaginable just a few months ago. Almost nobody commutes to work, shopping is all on-line and there are no physical conferences. This is not just in US but around the world. Look at how many gallons of fuel are saved, how pollution has drastically reduced and time wasted travelling in the car is all but gone. What kinds of societal benefits are we accumulating?

Now, of course, all this comes at a horrible price. Hundreds of thousands of people have died, and the cost of developing this artificial new world has been incalculable. Still, there may be something positive that comes out of this crisis.

Companies would have discovered that almost all jobs could be done remotely. Not only do workers produce results while nobody is looking over their shoulders, but they probably put in more time because of they don’t need to commute. These lessons will have a lasting effect. 

How much of telecommuting will remain in place after the Coronavirus lockdown is over is anybody’s guess but I can imagine that to be substantial. The number of telecommuters was probably about 10% before the crisis (it was 7.9% in 2017) so if we assume 20% of workers telecommuting after the crisis, that will be an additional of 10% not driving to work. 

What kind of societal benefits are we talking about? Remember that for 10% of workforce telecommuting I had estimated the benefits to be about $23 billion. Given the fact that (i) the dollar figures in my research were in 1988 dollars, (ii) the actual number of people working has gone up by 40% since then and (iii) inflation has been 123% during that period, we get close to $70 billion in societal benefits annually due to the new work habits. This is of course a very crude estimate; I have no desire to repeat the work I had done almost 30 years ago to get a more accurate figure. However, the conclusion that there will be substantial societal benefits stands.

In 1991, no one had heard of Climate Change. Now it is here and real. The billions of tons of pollutants not emitted because of a substantial boost in telecommuting will help a lot in addressing that currently forgotten crisis, one which won’t be solved with an vaccine. 

Imagine if the fear of flying induced by Covid reduces desire to travel, and the future wanderlust will be satisfied through virtual reality. Then the number of tourists will reduce, making a big impact on pollution created by airlines and saving the desirable destinations from the trampling hoards. 

Covid a horrible curse that has fallen on mankind. However, if the new habits forced upon us by that curse stick, we will generate substantial benefits. 

Friday, May 1, 2020

Shedding new light

The stories of human evolution and migration have always fascinated me. I wrote a Blog post about the book “Early Indians” that described where my ancestors in India came from. Now I just finished reading a book that provided a lot of material for “Early Indians.” This one, titled “Who we are and how we got here: Ancient DNA and the new science of the human past,” written by David Reich, is a more scholarly work, difficult to digest sometimes, but it is full of surprises and mysteries. 

The two breakthroughs applied to human history are the ability to sequence human genome effectively and efficiently, and doing it from bone fragments found in different parts of the world. Combining it with the traditional techniques; such as ability to date a specific archeological site (using Carbon dating), a vast database of anatomical measurements of parts of humans (such as skull), and advances in linguistics; allows us now to look back in an unprecedented way. 

Here are some of the highlights of what the study of ancient DNAs have revealed thus far. 

Encounters with ancient humans: An amazing fact is that we, modern humans, interbred with Neanderthals. We have plenty of jokes about Neanderthals, those cousins of modern humans, who had large heads but not very smart. They lived in Europe (Neanderthal is the location in Germany---Neander Lake—where they first bone fragments were found), and went extinct. However to discover that almost all of us (all except the Africans), have some Neanderthal DNA was a new discovery. There is not much of their DNA in us---the maximum is only 2%---but it is there.

Another branch of ancient humans, whose DNA we carry are Denisovans, named after Denisova Caves in Siberia, where a pinky bone belonging to one of them was found. They are cousins of Neanderthals, but some of us carry as much as 5% of their DNA. The funny part is that those with the highest concentration live in New Guinea and Australia, nowhere close to Siberia. This startling discovery led to figuring out that there were actually two types of Denisovans, Siberian type and Australian type. So, seventy thousand years back, world had four types of populations: modern humans, Neanderthals, Siberian-Denisovans, and Australo-Denisovans. (There actually is a fifth, small humans, nicknamed “hobbit,” which lived in Indonesia as long ago as seven hundred thousand years.)

What is interesting about such interbreeding is that the evolution of humans did not follow a tree like structure, starting from a trunk and branching out. It is more like a trellis, branching and remixing. 

Humanity’s Ghosts: A prevailing theory until this new technology came about was that the ancestors of Native Americans were East Asians. They are the ones that crossed Bearing Sea when the sea levels were down due to an ice age. The new findings reveal that one third of the ancestry of Native Americans is North Eurasians, and the remaining East Asians. Interestingly, the same North Eurasian group mixed with ancestral Europeans to create North Europeans. So, the Native Americans and the Europeans share a common ancestry. How bizarre! Even more bizarre is that there was no such group identified before. So, it was a ghost group.

The mystery was solved when bones of a boy were found in south-central Siberia at a place called Mal’ta. This twenty four thousand year old genome was what one would expect that of the ghost population to be like. Mystery solved. However, there are additional ghost groups identified using the new technologies and they are yet to find their own Mal’ta boys. 

Europeans: Europe of ancient times lived in many population centers during the hunter-gatherer phase and moved around. That much has been discerned by analyzing ancient DNAs. “We should not expect the people who lived in any one place in the past to be direct ancestors of those who live there today.” Driving their movements were natural phenomena such as a super volcano near the present day Naples in Italy (much before Vesuvius) and the glaciers created by an ice age that divided west and east of Europe. Relative homogeneity in the European population was brought about by domestication of plants and animals, which began between twelve and eleven thousand years ago in southern Turkey and northern Syria. 

A major change in European people took place some five thousand years ago when people from steppes (a grass land that stretches eight thousand kilometers from central Europe to China) migrated west. These people belonged to Yamnaya culture that herded sheep and cattle. Such mass migration possible was made possible by a major innovation---that of wheel. Another innovation---horse---made cattle herding more efficient. Combining a wheeled wagon with an animal allowed the Yamnaya folks to travel. 

This expansion also spread a major group of languages---the Indo-European Languages--- throughout Europe. One clue for the common root shared by most (not all) European languages is the words used for describing a wagon and its parts. Well, if these folks used wheels and wagons to move about, they had to have common words describing them.

Even Indian languages are a part of the family, as was discovered by judge serving in British India. A scholar of Greek and Latin, he learned Sanskrit, and as they say, the rest is history. So, the steppe pastoralists had broken through to India too! This is a great example of how linguistics works hand-in-hand with archeology and genetics to create accurate maps of human migration. 

Even though a single genetically coherent group was responsible for spreading many of the Indo-European languages, this fact does not support the concept of “Aryan purity” promoted by Hitler. The Europeans, including the blue-eyed blond Germans are the result of mixture of many groups.

Indians: India is another place where the DNA based research confronted local views on why people in North India speak languages that are members of the Indo-European family. “It is simple,” they say. “India was the cradle of civilization and people speaking those languages migrated out of it to go to Europe.” This view, espoused primarily by folks in India who are promoting Hindu supremacy, is not consistent with the findings of research done by David Reich and his fellow researchers, as mentioned above. As it stands, the findings prove that one part of Indian population resulted from mixing of people from Central Asia, Europe, and Near East, while the other part, from East Asians (Chinese). The only place with pure ancient Indian blood is in the tiny island of Andaman. 

Another set of interesting discoveries relate to the cast system in India. Organized in two levels, the cast system is composed of four major Varnas and at least forty six hundred Jatis. People tend to marry within their subgroups, creating the degree of genetic differentiations among Indians many times larger than in Europe. India is composed of a large number of small populations, according to Reich.

Marriages within the same Jati provide a fertile ground for rare diseases. This is tragic but also a goldmine. According to Reich, “The history of India presents an important opportunity for biological discovery. As finding genes for rare recessive diseases is cheap with modern genetic technology. All it takes is access to a small number of people in a jai group with the disease whose genome can then be sequenced.”

When all is said and done, the genetic research show that Europe and South Asia are similar in many ways. “They both were affected by two successive migrations. The first migration was from the Near East around nine thousand years ago, which brought farmers who mixed with local hunter gathers. The second was from the steppe after about five thousand years ago, which brought pastoralists, who probably spoke Indo-European languages, who mixed with the local farmers they encountered along the way.” 

Native American ancestors: Moving on to America, the genetic research has shown that vast majority of Native Americans descended from groups of people that crossed over from Siberia during the ice age when the ocean levels were low. They came across Bering Strait via an ice-free corridor some thirteen thousand years ago but also along a second route, a coastal one, some sixteen thousand years ago. No archeological remains have been found of the coastal route because it is all covered by one hundred meters of water at this time. 

A big surprise was the discovery of Native American population in the Amazon area that share ancestry with Australians, New Guineans, and people of Andaman Islands, mentioned above as the place where original Indians can be found. This indicates that there was another “ghost” population, called “Population Y” that most likely came from the Bering Strait route, however the timing of that event is unknown. This group perhaps was more widely distributed in the Americas but was then marginalized by the expansion of other groups. 

Reich postulates that there were two more waves of people who crossed Bering Strait. One group, five thousand years ago formed Paleo-Eskimo lineage, the other, just a thousand years go, created a Neo-Eskimo group that displaced Paleo-Eskimos. As the names suggest, these are the ancestors of the current folks who live in the northern part of the continent. What is interesting is that there is evidence of reverse migration. Some folks went back to Asia along Bering Strait. 

Reich mentions opposition he and other researchers encountered while studying genetics of Native Americans in the Continental United States. There is general mistrust of Western science among the Native population stemming from the way some early samples were collected. Also, in 1990 US Congress passed the Native American Graves Protection and Repatriation Act (NAGPRA) that requires institutions to return artifacts including bones, to Native American tribes. This reduces the opportunity to study ancient DNA analysis. 

East Asians: Moving on the East Asia and Australia, the ancient DNA reveals that interbreeding of modern humans with Neanderthals created two groups, the European hunter-gatherers and the East Asians. This happened some 49,000-54,000 years ago. The East Asian group than interbred with the Denisovans to produce Papuans and Australians. All this happened quickly within a 5,000-year interval.

From 50,000 to 10,000 years ago, the hunter-gatherer East Asian group that moved east, diversified and spread south toward India, north east toward the Americas, and south east toward Australia. Two very divergent populations from this initial dispersion developed agriculture, about 9,000 years ago, independent of those in Turkey and north Syria mentioned earlier.

One of these two groups farmed along the Yangtze River, the other along the Yellow River. Analyzing DNA of population from Southeast Asia and Taiwan, it has been discovered that their ancestry can be traced back to a homogenous ancestral population that lived along Yangtze River. Since no ancient DNA from Yangtze River has been found, it is a “Yangtze River Ghost Population.” Similarly, the ancestry of Han Chinese---the world’s largest group of more than 1.2 billion people---can be traced back to a “Yellow River Ghost Population.” The Tibetan speakers also emerged from this second ghost population it is believed. 

The East Asian group moving toward Australia, mentioned above, populated Indonesia, Australia and New Guinea. This first wave, 47,000 years ago, was followed by two other waves, one from Taiwan that populated the Southwest Pacific Islands (5,000-3,000 years ago), and the last one, originating from Papua New Guinea about 2,400 years ago that went to the same islands and beyond.  

Africa: The story of human evolution in Africa is very complex, as might be expected from the continent’s huge size, its varied landscape, and the antiquity of our species there. As a lot of focus of research thus far has been for people who came out of Africa 50,000 years go to populate the rest of the world, what happened to them before or after that fateful event has not received as much attention.  A lot of work henceforth has been based on linguistics, identifying similarities and differences in languages spoken in the continent to develop hypotheses on human development and migrations. The study of ancient (and current) DNA is still in its infancy and that is proving some of the hypotheses while bringing up new possibilities.

Broadly speaking, at some unknown time hundreds of years ago, a West African lineage split from the rest, and then some 200,000 to 300,000 years ago two other groups emerged, the East African foragers and the South African foragers. The former group is of specific interest to us, the non-Africans, as they had a pivotal role in our history. Subsequently, agriculturalists from the West Central Africa spread out and went south as well as east. This movement of people is called Bantu Expansion and it was discovered based on linguistics. This, and three other expansions occurred in the past few thousand years ago. As Reich says, the story is till being written as more research is done. 

Disruptive Genome: Reich concludes the book talking about several areas where genome research has caused disruptions in current thinking of equality and race.  For example, the genetic data confirms that powerful men have the potential to have a far greater impact than powerful women. One study points that a small number of powerful males living during the Mongol period succeeded in having an impact on billions of people living in East Eurasia today. One single person left many millions of direct male descendants across the territory that Mongol occupied. That male could be Genghis Khan based on the estimated rate of accumulation of mutations on the Y chromosome. How about that for the dominance of male?

One area where the genomic revolution is playing an important role is identifying genetic differences among different groups of people. Reich and his colleagues applied this method to find that African American men had genetic profile that led to a higher incidence of prostate cancer than the rest of the population. When these findings were presented, there was a strong opposition from the audience, including accusation of racism against him. Thus the well -meaning effort that can potentially improve health ran into a buzz saw. 

Reich now admits that, “There are nontrivial average genetic differences across populations in multiple traits and the race vocabulary is too ill defined and too loaded with historical baggage to be helpful.” He says, “We need to come up with a new way of thinking that can accommodate differences caused by genetic traits, rather than deny that differences can exist and so find ourselves caught without a strategy once they are found in the future.” He categorically denies the clams made by people like Hitler that were based on racial superiority, but cautions against the pendulum swinging too far in the other direction, denying that there can be differences among genes of different groups of people.

As the revolution in understanding our past using ancient DNA continues, Reich expects that during the next decade much will be revealed about the past of people in Central Asia, South Asia, East Asia, and Africa. This will supplement what has already been learned about West Eurasia, Americas and Pacific Islands. This technology will also help estimate human population sizes at different times in the past. Yet another application is in the area of human biology and pace of human adaptation. The impact of natural selection during different times of human evolution can then be studied. medical advances that allow people with genetic conditions that in the past would have prevented them from surviving or having families would affect the natural selection. 

Reich concludes by saying that, “In this field, the pursuit of truth for its own sake has had the effect of exploding stereotypes, undercutting prejudices, and highlighting the connections among people not previously known to be related.”

Indeed.